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BNBCalc Short Term Rental Investment Analysis 31301 Aguacate Rd

6 bed • 5 bath • 15 guests • $2,000,000

BNB

Calc

Report by:

Alexandra Kopel

amessickkopel@gmail.com

Annual Revenue

$0

Profit (Cash Flow)

-$148,594

Cap Rate

-0.7%

Annual Revenue

$0

AirDNA projects $556/night at 54% occupancy ($109,660). Airbtics projects $790/night at 60% occupancy ($173,125). Airbtics predicts this property will perform in the 46% revenue percentile

BNB Calc projects a 54% occupancy rate, $0 rate per night.

Revenue Percentile (property's earnings compare to others in the market}

Percentiles25%50%75%90%
Revenue$59,002$187,449$333,201$459,047
Occupancy43%65%83%91%
Nightly Rate$368$781$1,085$1,362

Seasonality (Profit by Month)

Sign up to view the full seasonality chart

Airbnb Comparables

Airbnb name
Revenue
Rate/night
Occupancy
Beds
Baths
Night
Cleaning
Pool
Tub
Pets
W/D
Reviews
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$687
44%
562$375❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.5 (101)
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$71,874
$274
68%
532$200❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (28)
Luxury Ocean Bluff Villa

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$274,044
$811
91%
574$600✅✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (29)
On the Beach in Doheny (Upper Two Floors) 5BD 3BA

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88%
532$220❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (42)
OC Modern Retreat-Near Irvine, Dana Point & Laguna

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$139,636
$602
63%
533$250✅❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (186)
Cleo in The Village

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$76,156
$284
68%
533$450❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (113)
Large Contemporary Home on the Sand Hot Tub, Sauna

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$291,918
$1,697
47%
7730$690❌✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (21)
Laguna Pool Villa

No image available

$178,923
$611
78%
5330$350✅✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (16)
Casa Luna-Mia -Centrally located, amazing property

No image available

$140,458
$1,259
30%
542$550❌✅✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.5 (14)
Stunning Beach Compound/Hot Tub/Glamping/Arcade

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$245,701
$823
80%
5330$500❌✅✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (88)
Sunny Retreat with Ocean Views

No image available

$109,704
$511
58%
543$299✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.9 (8)
Relax and Unwind! 3 Convenient Rooms w/ Kitchen

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$119,726
$348
94%
661$0❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.5 (4)
Dreamy Whole Duplex: Downtown & Beach

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$233,108
$767
80%
672$500❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (11)
Luxury 5BR w/ Ocean View+Heated SPA

No image available

$401,704
$1,355
81%
565$350✅✅✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (5)
Cozy Retreat in this 3 Relaxing Rooms | Pool

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$111,644
$328
93%
661$0❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (2)
Casa Chula Vista

No image available

$240,340
$936
67%
534$450❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (9)
WakeUp to Waves in CapoBeach,5BdRm BeachfrontBliss

No image available

$269,895
$795
91%
535$500❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.9 (14)
Full-Scale Elegance at a Luxury Home in Laguna Hills

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$238,839
$1,131
57%
5630$600✅✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.9 (53)
Dana Point Beach Duplex - 2 Units 16 Guests

No image available

$373,298
$1,146
89%
645$0❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (4)
Oceanfront Luxury Beach House directly on the Sand

No image available

$145,262
$923
43%
5329$0❌✅✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (13)
OCEAN VIEW VILLA in Warm, Sunny SOCAL

No image available

$88,290
$561
43%
5430$500❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.6 (5)
Beach town gem! 5 bedroom, 3 bathroom house!

No image available

$84,333
$281
82%
5331$200❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.9 (9)
Luxurious 5BR Gem Mission Viejo w/Pool Lake Access

No image available

$101,955
$311
87%
532$325✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 0 (8)
Large family friendly home near the beach

No image available

$60,747
$193
86%
5331$220❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (4)
Entire Duplex On The Beach

No image available

$228,894
$1,200
51%
647$750❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (1)
Modern Home Near Laguna Beach, Ideal for Long Stay

No image available

$79,318
$252
86%
5328$300❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.5 (5)
Amazing 5BR Oceanfront | Hot Tub | Balcony

No image available

$181,906
$1,071
46%
533$400❌✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (5)
Upscale 5 bedroom home with heated private pool!

No image available

$77,958
$300
71%
5328$350✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (3)
Entire House 5/BD Hosted By Ana

No image available

$41,835
$381
30%
532$0❌✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.6 (10)
Dana Point Pool and spa Home Beach close 15-0348

No image available

$365,268
$998
100%
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Lantern District 5 bedroom SFR

No image available

$85,101
$375
62%
5429$0✅❌✅Y / N⭐️ 5 (1)
Lantern District Beach Home

No image available

$97,839
$326
82%
5430$600✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 0 (0)

Return Metrics

-31.26% cash on cash return is a poor return over the next 1 year

Investment Value Over Time

Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y10Y30
Profit (Cummulative)-$148,593-$297,187-$445,781-$594,374-$742,968-$1,485,937-$4,457,811
Revenue Appreciation$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
Home Equity$1,600,000$1,600,000$1,600,000$1,600,000$1,600,000$1,600,000$1,600,000
Down Payment$400,000$400,000$400,000$400,000$400,000$400,000$400,000
Property Appreciation$60,000$121,800$185,454$251,017$318,548$687,832$2,854,524
Total Return$1,911,406$1,824,612$1,739,672$1,656,642$1,575,579$1,201,895$396,713

Property Appreciation:

3%

Revenue Appreciation:

0%

Cash on Cash Return

-31.26%

Cap Rate

-0.68%

Return on Investment

-14.5%

property-location

31301 Aguacate Rd San Juan Capistrano, California, 92675

6 bed • 5 bath • 15 guests

Est. $9,593/mo

Agent

This property is for sale!

Contact Alexandra

$0

Annual Revenue

This property is projected to be in the top 46% revenue percentile compared to similar properties nearby.
Projected nightly rate is $556/night at 54% occupancy.Projected nightly rate is $790/night at 60% occupancy.

Top 61% of comparables

Top 98% of comparables


Seasonality

Sign up to view the full seasonality chart

40

Airbnb Comparables

Adjust the filters to identify similar listings to yours. Then adjust your annual revenue estimate accordingly.

$156,977

Avg annual revenue

60%

Avg occupancy rate

$790

Avg nightly rate


🏊‍♂️ Pool
🛁 Hot tub
🐶 Pet friendly

Any type

House

Apartment

Any min stay

Weekly min

Monthly min

4.8+ stars

Revenue per year

$40k

$160k

$275k

$405k

Sign up to see the data on 40 all comparables

-$148,594

Profit

Revenue

$0

Operating Expenses

$13,680

Operating Income

-$13,680

Mortgage & Taxes

$134,914

Profit (Cash Flow)

-$148,594

$475,250

Cash Investment

Down Payment

$400,000

Renos & Furnishing

$15,250

Closing Costs

$60,000

Total

$475,250

DSCR Ratio

Weak

-0.10

Get a pre-qualification letter

Investment Value Over Time

Property Appreciation

3%

Revenue Appreciation

0%

Cash on Cash Return

-31.26%

Cap Rate

-0.68%

Profit (Cummulative)

-$148,594

$1,600,000

$15,250

$60,000

$0

Total Gain

-$68,946

STR Tax Calculator (USA)

On purchasing a large business asset, you can subtract the depreciation value from your taxable income in order to pay less income tax. Use this calculator to find out how much you can save. Read tax guide.

Your current annual income

Your income tax rate

%

Taxes paid on $150,000

$45,000

If you buy this investment property, your est deduction will be...

Deductible mortgage interest

$94,922

Deductible property tax

$19,800

Your total deduction

$255,266

Your adjusted annual income

$150,000 - $255,266 = -$105,266


Taxes on -$105,266 (30%)

-$31,580

Your old tax bill

$45,000

Your new tax bill

-$31,580


Estimated tax savings

$76,580

Maximize the depreciation value on your tax returns. Get $50 off cost segregation reports with code BNBCALC at DIYCostSeg.com

Property Overview

View property info, current ownership, recently sold comps, school zone ratings, area rents, and more.

Lot size:

239,916 sqft

Year built:

-

Size:

-

Type:

SFR

Parking:

-

Heating:

-

Sold Comparables

AddressBedsBathsSquare Feet$/SqFtLot SizeYear BuiltLast SaleDays on Market
26411 Calle Lucana521,666-8,4481965$0-
31581 Aguacate Rd679,147-65,3401990$0-
31631 Aguacate Rd359,223-47,9161989$0-
19 Salt Spray Dr432,411-4,0001989$0-
31851 Paseo Cielo434,154-18,5001975$4,650,000-
10 Saint Thomas221,237-4,0001987$0-
26761 Via El Socorro221,451-3,8801973$0-
30746 Calle Chueca221,130-2,3681964$760,000966
9 Tobago331,852-3,6001985$0-
31412 La Matanza St221,443-7,8001937$1,700,000-

Property Details

  • MLS Status: Active
  • Property Use: Single Family Residence
  • Stories: -
  • Lot size: 239,916 sqft
  • Building area: -
  • Garage: No
  • Heating:
  • Pool: No
  • Fireplaces: -
  • Basement: Yes
  • Cooling: -
  • View: -
  • Parking: -
  • Amenities: -
  • Price per square foot: -

Lot Info

  • Zoning: -
  • Land Use: Residential
  • Parcel Number: 121-070-60
  • Flood Zone: Yes, Zone AREA OF MINIMAL FLOOD HAZARD

Tax Info

  • Year Assessed: 2024
  • Assessed Value: $2,118,052
  • County Est. Land Value: -
  • Assessed Land Value: $1,266,187
  • County Est. Structure Value: -
  • Market Estimate: -


Sale history

DateSale Price% FinancedBuyer
03/29/19$00%O Brien Trust, Michael J O Brien
03/29/19$00%America F O Brien
03/30/12$00%Michael J Obrien
01/24/12$1,720,000100%Michael J Obrien, The Obrien Trust
12/09/11$00%Gene L Clothier
05/26/05$00%Gene L Clothier, Antoinette R Clothier
05/26/05$00%Gene L Clothier
06/02/04$2,800,000100%Gene L Clothier, Antoinette R Clothier
07/29/02$00%Benson Donald Mcgann, The Benson Donald Mcgann Family Trust
12/29/98$00%B Donald Mcgann

Ownership

  • Name: Michael Obrien
  • Owner Occupied: Yes
  • Owner Mailing Address: 31301 Aguacate Rd, San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
  • Years Owned: 66
  • Home Equity: -
  • Mortgage Balance Remaining: $0
  • Financed amount: -
  • Owner Type: Individual
  • Lien: No
  • Inherited: Yes
  • Foreclosure: No