BNBCalc Short Term Rental Investment Analysis 31301 Aguacate Rd

5 bed • 5 bath • 13 guests • $3,700,000

BNB

Calc

Report by:

Alexandra Kopel

amessickkopel@gmail.com

Annual Revenue

$137,697

Profit (Cash Flow)

-$143,474

Cap Rate

2.9%

Annual Revenue

$137,697

AirDNA projects $580/night at 94% occupancy ($199,131). Airbtics projects $561/night at 59% occupancy ($120,892). Airbtics predicts this property will perform in the 48% revenue percentile

BNB Calc projects a 65% occupancy rate, $580 rate per night.

Revenue Percentile (property's earnings compare to others in the market}

Percentiles	25%	50%	75%	90%
Revenue	$52,438	$114,864	$190,665	$288,298
Occupancy	43%	63%	74%	82%
Nightly Rate	$327	$491	$693	$945

Seasonality (Profit by Month)

Airbnb Comparables

Airbnb name	Revenue	Rate/night	Occupancy	Beds	Baths	Night	Cleaning	Pool	Tub	Pets	W/D	Reviews
Traveler's Dream Sea Breeze Pool Villa	$132,838	$493	72%	4	2	2	$265	✅	✅	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (45)
Lux Farmhouse! Game Room, 14' Trampoline/HOA Pools	$66,005	$389	43%	5	3	1	$299	✅	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.8 (16)
Modern Lantern District Beach House	$87,923	$321	74%	4	2	2	$150	❌	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.8 (541)
Beautiful ocean view home	$57,088	$204	73%	4	2	3	$215	❌	❌	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.7 (213)
Serendipity Villa By The Sea!	$112,288	$687	44%	5	6	2	$375	❌	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.5 (101)
3436 Sqft Villa w/Office,Fireplace,Balconies,Pool	$117,014	$404	78%	4	4	3	$280	✅	❌	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.9 (50)
New Luxury Designer House w/Saltwater Pool Hot Tub	$74,153	$287	66%	4	3	2	$460	✅	✅	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.8 (83)
Dana Point Dream Home (#STR14-0084)	$132,224	$514	70%	4	3	3	$225	❌	❌	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (20)
Breathtaking views, close to the ocean and canyon	$56,636	$196	71%	4	2	3	$275	✅	✅	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (66)
San Juan Capistrano Home w/ Patio!	$69,191	$490	38%	4	3	14	$609	❌	❌	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 3.6 (6)
Casa Luna-Mia -Centrally located, amazing property	$140,458	$1,259	30%	5	4	2	$550	❌	✅	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.5 (14)
Golf Course View Home - walk to Salt Creek Beach!	$264,374	$1,088	66%	4	5	7	$475	❌	❌	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (21)
Dana Point Family Home-private hot tub, AC, Wifi	$109,560	$562	53%	4	3	7	$310	❌	✅	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (18)
The Mission Villa	$116,883	$584	52%	4	3	2	$350	✅	✅	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (15)
Minutes to Beach, Private House	$55,076	$198	76%	4	3	1	$0	❌	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.3 (9)
Coastal Retreat With Hot Tub	$247,366	$714	94%	4	4	3	$400	❌	✅	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (10)
Casa Chula Vista	$240,340	$936	67%	5	3	4	$450	❌	❌	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (9)
Saltwater POOL! Family Friendly! Park-Flora Vista	$117,597	$378	85%	4	3	30	$370	✅	✅	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (4)
Sea view sunset hot spring holiday villa	$237,163	$833	77%	4	3	28	$500	✅	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.7 (42)
Luxury Home Near the Beach.4bedroom.4bathroom	$113,843	$876	33%	4	4	30	$399	✅	✅	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (5)
The Lantern Village House - Dana Point Beach	$162,703	$540	81%	4	3	29	$350	❌	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (13)
Modern 4Bedroom with Pool & Spa, near the Beach	$90,841	$292	85%	4	3	30	$300	✅	✅	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.3 (11)
Gate Guarded Beach House @Monarch Ritz Carlton	$120,999	$435	76%	4	2	30	$250	✅	✅	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.8 (11)
San Juan Family Farmhouse	$95,526	$300	87%	4	3	7	$0	❌	❌	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 0 (1)
Close to Beach, Pool and Spa House!	$87,589	$772	31%	4	3	30	$0	✅	✅	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.8 (6)
Oceanview Home in Dana Point	$124,074	$678	50%	4	4	28	$400	✅	✅	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (7)
Luxury house the best city view3	$59,545	$493	33%	4	2	1	$0	✅	✅	✅	Y / N	⭐️ 0 (1)
Walk2Park, Backyard & EV Charger (Palmera Perch)	$76,245	$372	56%	4	3	30	$250	❌	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (3)
4 bedroom/3.5 bath OC beauty mins from beach	$88,038	$422	57%	4	4	31	$0	❌	❌	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (3)
Gorgeous 4 Bedroom w/Panoramic Views	$76,802	$344	61%	4	3	30	$0	✅	✅	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (1)
The Wave Haus.	$44,300	$178	68%	4	3	30	$280	✅	✅	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (9)
Dana Point Dreamin' Destination	$80,036	$308	71%	4	2	29	$250	❌	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (5)
Large Home in Gated area by Monarch Beach with Spa	$42,146	$329	35%	4	3	1	$599	✅	✅	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (5)
Modern House in Ladera Ranch	$63,067	$359	48%	4	3	1	$0	❌	❌	❌	Y / N	⭐️ 0 (0)
OCEAN VIEW VILLA in Warm, Sunny SOCAL	$88,290	$561	43%	5	4	30	$500	❌	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.6 (5)
Tsu Casa- Home Away from Home	$108,899	$513	58%	4	3	2	$0	❌	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 5 (14)
Resort Style Home by Ocean & Golf in Monarch Beach	$129,211	$821	43%	4	4	30	$600	❌	✅	❌	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.5 (2)
Beach town gem! 5 bedroom, 3 bathroom house!	$84,333	$281	82%	5	3	31	$200	❌	❌	✅	Y / Y	⭐️ 4.9 (9)

Return Metrics

-16.6% cash on cash return is a poor return over the next 1 year

Investment Value Over Time

	Y1	Y2	Y3	Y4	Y5	Y10	Y30
Profit (Cummulative)	-$143,473	-$286,947	-$430,421	-$573,895	-$717,369	-$1,434,739	-$4,304,219
Revenue Appreciation	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
Home Equity	$2,960,000	$2,960,000	$2,960,000	$2,960,000	$2,960,000	$2,960,000	$2,960,000
Down Payment	$740,000	$740,000	$740,000	$740,000	$740,000	$740,000	$740,000
Property Appreciation	$111,000	$225,330	$343,089	$464,382	$589,314	$1,272,490	$5,280,871
Total Return	$3,667,526	$3,638,382	$3,612,667	$3,590,486	$3,571,944	$3,537,750	$4,676,652

Property Appreciation:

Revenue Appreciation:

Cash on Cash Return

-16.6%

Cap Rate

2.86%

Return on Investment

0.44%

31301 Aguacate Rd San Juan Capistrano, California, 92675

5 bed • 5 bath • 13 guests

Purchase Price

Est. $17,747/mo

This property is for sale!

Contact Alexandra

$137,697

Annual Revenue

This property is projected to be in the top 48% revenue percentile compared to similar properties nearby.
Projected nightly rate is $580/night at 94% occupancy.Projected nightly rate is $561/night at 59% occupancy.

Occupancy Rate

Top 48% of comparables

Avg Daily Rate

Top 31% of comparables

Seasonality

40 Airbnb Comparables

Adjust the filters to identify similar listings to yours. Then adjust your annual revenue estimate accordingly.

$111,673

Avg annual revenue

59%

Avg occupancy rate

$561

Avg nightly rate

🏊‍♂️ Pool

🛁 Hot tub

🐶 Pet friendly

Any type

House

Apartment

Any min stay

Weekly min

Monthly min

4.8+ stars

Revenue per year

$40k

$115k

$185k

$265k

-$143,474

Profit

Revenue

$137,697

Operating Expenses

$31,581

Operating Income

$106,116

Mortgage & Taxes

$249,590

Profit (Cash Flow)

-$143,474

$864,250

Cash Investment

Down Payment

$740,000

Renos & Furnishing

$13,250

Closing Costs

$111,000

Total

$864,250

DSCR Ratio

Weak

0.43

Get a pre-qualification letter

Investment Value Over Time

Property Appreciation

Revenue Appreciation

Cash on Cash Return

-16.6%

Cap Rate

2.86%

Return on Investment

0.44%

STR Tax Calculator (USA)

On purchasing a large business asset, you can subtract the depreciation value from your taxable income in order to pay less income tax. Use this calculator to find out how much you can save. Read tax guide.

Your current annual income

Your income tax rate

Taxes paid on $150,000

$45,000

If you buy this investment property, your est deduction will be...

Deductible mortgage interest

$175,606

Deductible property tax

$36,630

Your total deduction

$338,752

Your adjusted annual income

$150,000 - $338,752 = -$188,752

Taxes on -$188,752 (30%)

-$56,626

Your old tax bill

$45,000

Your new tax bill

-$56,626

Estimated tax savings

$101,626

Maximize the depreciation value on your tax returns. Get $50 off cost segregation reports with code BNBCALC at DIYCostSeg.com

Property Overview

View property info, current ownership, recently sold comps, school zone ratings, area rents, and more.

Lot size:

239,916 sqft

Year built:

Size:

Type:

SFR

Parking:

Heating:

Sold Comparables

Address	Beds	Baths	Square Feet	$/SqFt	Lot Size	Year Built	Last Sale	Days on Market
26411 Calle Lucana	5	2	1,666	-	8,448	1965	$0	-
31581 Aguacate Rd	6	7	9,147	-	65,340	1990	$0	-
31631 Aguacate Rd	3	5	9,223	-	47,916	1989	$0	-
19 Salt Spray Dr	4	3	2,411	-	4,000	1989	$0	-
31851 Paseo Cielo	4	3	4,154	-	18,500	1975	$4,650,000	-
10 Saint Thomas	2	2	1,237	-	4,000	1987	$0	-
26761 Via El Socorro	2	2	1,451	-	3,880	1973	$0	-
30746 Calle Chueca	2	2	1,130	-	2,368	1964	$760,000	966
9 Tobago	3	3	1,852	-	3,600	1985	$0	-
31412 La Matanza St	2	2	1,443	-	7,800	1937	$1,700,000	-

Property Details

MLS Status: Active

Property Use: Single Family Residence

Stories: -

Lot size: 239,916 sqft

Building area: -

Garage: No

Heating:

Pool: No

Fireplaces: -

Basement: Yes

Cooling: -

View: -

Parking: -

Amenities: -

Price per square foot: -

Lot Info

Zoning: -

Land Use: Residential

Parcel Number: 121-070-60

Flood Zone: Yes, Zone AREA OF MINIMAL FLOOD HAZARD

Tax Info

Year Assessed: 2024

Assessed Value: $2,118,052

County Est. Land Value: -

Assessed Land Value: $1,266,187

County Est. Structure Value: -

Market Estimate: -

Sale history

Date	Sale Price	% Financed	Buyer
03/29/19	$0	0%	O Brien Trust, Michael J O Brien
03/29/19	$0	0%	America F O Brien
03/30/12	$0	0%	Michael J Obrien
01/24/12	$1,720,000	100%	Michael J Obrien, The Obrien Trust
12/09/11	$0	0%	Gene L Clothier
05/26/05	$0	0%	Gene L Clothier, Antoinette R Clothier
05/26/05	$0	0%	Gene L Clothier
06/02/04	$2,800,000	100%	Gene L Clothier, Antoinette R Clothier
07/29/02	$0	0%	Benson Donald Mcgann, The Benson Donald Mcgann Family Trust
12/29/98	$0	0%	B Donald Mcgann

Ownership

Name: Michael Obrien

Owner Occupied: Yes

Owner Mailing Address: 31301 Aguacate Rd, San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675

Years Owned: 66

Home Equity: -

Mortgage Balance Remaining: $0

Financed amount: -

Owner Type: Individual

Lien: No

Inherited: Yes

Foreclosure: No