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BNBCalc Short Term Rental Investment Analysis 2814 S Fossil Creek Ln

3 bed • 2.5 bath • 8 guests • $540,000

BNB

Calc

Annual Revenue

$51,477

Profit (Cash Flow)

-$5,321

Cap Rate

5.8%

Annual Revenue

$51,477

AirDNA projects $243/night at 58% occupancy ($51,477). Airbtics projects $202/night at 54% occupancy ($39,840). Airbtics predicts this property will perform in the 46% revenue percentile

BNB Calc projects a 57.99999999999999% occupancy rate, $243 rate per night.

Revenue Percentile (property's earnings compare to others in the market}

Percentiles25%50%75%90%
Revenue$24,773$41,113$56,831$88,699
Occupancy39%57%70%79%
Nightly Rate$165$186$211$294

Seasonality (Profit by Month)

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Airbnb Comparables

Airbnb name
Revenue
Rate/night
Occupancy
Beds
Baths
Night
Cleaning
Pool
Tub
Pets
W/D
Reviews
Lovely Home in the North Woods

No image available

$41,596
$197
56%
332$135❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.9 (127)
Paradiso in the Pines

No image available

$48,322
$207
62%
332$225❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (166)
Tequila Sunrise! Fun for All! Pool Table! Kid Nook

No image available

$50,030
$154
81%
332$175✅❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (276)
Modern and stylish - location and amenities galore

No image available

$46,654
$178
70%
333$175❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (52)
Modern Flagstaff Home, 4 Mi to Downtown!

No image available

$33,688
$143
58%
332$196❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (48)
Comfortable,family-friendly home in great location

No image available

$31,583
$186
43%
331$165❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.9 (107)
Blue Mountain Cabin Escape/AC/Pet Friendly

No image available

$43,669
$200
59%
323$160❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (38)
Modern Flagstaff Home: Hot Tub, 3 Mi to Dtwn!

No image available

$50,116
$206
64%
332$207❌✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.9 (47)
Relax in the Pines at the Flagstaff Base Camp

No image available

$55,094
$206
70%
332$165❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.9 (20)
Stylish & Comfy ~ 5★ Location, ♛Royal Beds, HotTub

No image available

$57,922
$187
78%
332$180❌✅✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (161)
Modern Cabin in the Pines | Cozy, Comfy, & Clean

No image available

$41,320
$142
75%
322$165❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (106)
Luxury Home! Prime Location. Foosball Table, Centr

No image available

$46,703
$185
65%
331$165❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (84)
Centrally Located Flagstaff Vacation Home w/ Patio

No image available

$34,290
$141
64%
332$207❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.7 (40)
Cozy mountain hideaway

No image available

$85,236
$390
58%
332$160❌✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (65)
Luxurious Mountain Home! Very close to Downtown!

No image available

$29,682
$175
41%
331$165❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (29)
Serene Escape - Central to Sedona & Grand Canyon!

No image available

$58,175
$187
85%
3328$0❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (53)
Enjoy a rustic, stay at "Woody Mountain Lodge/Spa"

No image available

$56,371
$161
94%
332$150❌✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (181)
The Sage Wood House

No image available

$37,387
$100
92%
331$200❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (31)
Premium Vacation Retreat with AC and Lovely Views

No image available

$39,138
$339
31%
332$155❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.9 (72)
Summer Heat Retreat! Flagstaff Mountain Home

No image available

$26,495
$174
33%
342$295❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (19)
Mountain high Getaway! Central yet peaceful.

No image available

$34,311
$122
71%
331$140❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (64)
Beautiful Home Close to Downtown Flagstaff

No image available

$27,145
$208
35%
332$225❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (19)
Quiet retreat near Family park

No image available

$29,456
$167
43%
332$175❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (12)
Spacious Retreat < 3 Mi to Downtown Flagstaff!

No image available

$26,674
$177
36%
332$196❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (8)
Flagstaff Home Near NAU

No image available

$34,974
$114
70%
331$275❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (32)
Mountain Getaway 2

No image available

$42,960
$376
30%
332$200❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (66)
Pico Del Monte Retreat - Great location with hot tub!

No image available

$39,346
$224
43%
331$200❌✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (47)
Inviting 3BR Mountainview | Hot Tub

No image available

$30,628
$249
30%
332$245❌✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.7 (33)
Flagstaff Retreat

No image available

$25,790
$201
34%
332$160❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (25)
Luxurious & Cozy-Family Friendly-Central- Sleeps 7

No image available

$43,999
$202
56%
321$150❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (28)
New Flagstaff townhome with Mountain Views!

No image available

$36,638
$176
52%
332$150❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (59)
Stylish, New, Luxury Newbuild w/ Many Upgrades & A

No image available

$53,533
$179
79%
331$165❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (141)
Luxurious, Modern Flagstaff

No image available

$55,749
$224
68%
322$0❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (41)
Stargaze Around the Fire Pit at This Modern Abode

No image available

$52,397
$290
48%
332$150❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (58)
3BR Dog Friendly | W/D | Patio | Gas Grill

No image available

$27,465
$167
41%
332$245❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.7 (24)
Precious Mountain Hideaway! Central to Key Attract

No image available

$37,218
$159
58%
322$165❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (108)
Cozy Cabin: Northern Exposure

No image available

$35,523
$221
43%
332$165❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (56)

Return Metrics

-4% cash on cash return is a poor return over the next 1 year

Investment Value Over Time

Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y10Y30
Profit (Cummulative)-$5,321-$10,642-$15,963-$21,285-$26,606-$53,212-$159,638
Revenue Appreciation$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
Home Equity$432,000$432,000$432,000$432,000$432,000$432,000$432,000
Down Payment$108,000$108,000$108,000$108,000$108,000$108,000$108,000
Property Appreciation$16,200$32,886$50,072$67,774$86,008$185,714$770,721
Total Return$550,878$562,243$574,108$586,489$599,401$672,502$1,151,083

Property Appreciation:

3%

Revenue Appreciation:

0%

Cash on Cash Return

-4%

Cap Rate

5.76%

Return on Investment

12.18%

property-location

2814 S Fossil Creek Ln Flagstaff, Arizona, 86001-9156

3 bed • 2.5 bath • 8 guests

Est. $2,590/mo

Agent

This property is for sale!

Contact Agent

Flagstaff

Zoning


Laws

$51,477

Annual Revenue

This property is projected to be in the top 46% revenue percentile compared to similar properties nearby.
Projected nightly rate is $243/night at 58% occupancy.Projected nightly rate is $202/night at 54% occupancy.

Top 48% of comparables

Top 16% of comparables


Seasonality

Sign up to view the full seasonality chart

40

Airbnb Comparables

Adjust the filters to identify similar listings to yours. Then adjust your annual revenue estimate accordingly.

$40,693

Avg annual revenue

54%

Avg occupancy rate

$202

Avg nightly rate


🏊‍♂️ Pool
🛁 Hot tub
🐶 Pet friendly

Any type

House

Apartment

Any min stay

Weekly min

Monthly min

4.8+ stars

Revenue per year

$10k

$35k

$60k

$85k

Sign up to see the data on 40 all comparables

-$5,321

Profit

Revenue

$51,477

Operating Expenses

$20,372

Operating Income

$31,105

Mortgage & Taxes

$36,427

Profit (Cash Flow)

-$5,321

$132,825

Cash Investment

Down Payment

$108,000

Renos & Furnishing

$8,625

Closing Costs

$16,200

Total

$132,825

DSCR Ratio

Weak

0.85

Get a pre-qualification letter

Investment Value Over Time

Property Appreciation

3%

Revenue Appreciation

0%

Cash on Cash Return

-4%

Cap Rate

5.76%

Profit (Cummulative)

-$5,321

$432,000

$8,625

$16,200

$0

Total Gain

$16,184

STR Tax Calculator (USA)

On purchasing a large business asset, you can subtract the depreciation value from your taxable income in order to pay less income tax. Use this calculator to find out how much you can save. Read tax guide.

Your current annual income

Your income tax rate

%

Taxes paid on $150,000

$45,000

If you buy this investment property, your est deduction will be...

Deductible mortgage interest

$25,629

Deductible property tax

$5,346

Your total deduction

$60,008

Your adjusted annual income

$150,000 - $60,008 = $89,992


Taxes on $89,992 (30%)

$26,997

Your old tax bill

$45,000

Your new tax bill

$26,997


Estimated tax savings

$18,003

Maximize the depreciation value on your tax returns. Get $50 off cost segregation reports with code BNBCALC at DIYCostSeg.com

Property Overview

View property info, current ownership, recently sold comps, school zone ratings, area rents, and more.

Lot size:

2,178 sqft

Year built:

2013

Size:

1,710 sqft

Type:

SFR

Parking:

-

Heating:

-

Sold Comparables

AddressBedsBathsSquare Feet$/SqFtLot SizeYear BuiltLast SaleDays on Market
2888 W Pico Del Monte Cir321,744-2,6142016$595,000-
2844 W Pico Del Monte Cir331,774-2,6142016$0-
2505 W Pollo Cir--1,638-5,2172017$0-
2513 W Pollo Cir321,663-3,0492017$617,000-
2896 W Pico Del Monte Cir331,667-3,0492016$0-
2534 W Pollo Cir3-1,609-3,6412017$649,000-
1703 W Sunshine Dr321,548-6,9701994$610,000-
2551 W Pollo Cir--1,680-3,9202017$0-
2792 W Pico Del Monte Cir421,849-3,9202016$700,000-
2924 W Presidio Dr321,855-3,9202016$715,000-

Property Details

  • MLS Status: Active
  • Property Use: Single Family Residence
  • Stories: 2
  • Lot size: 2,178 sqft
  • Building area: 1,710 sqft
  • Garage: No
  • Heating:
  • Pool: No
  • Fireplaces: -
  • Basement: Yes
  • Cooling: -
  • View: -
  • Parking: -
  • Amenities: -
  • Price per square foot: -

Lot Info

  • Zoning: -
  • Land Use: Residential
  • Parcel Number: 112-65-035
  • Flood Zone: No

Tax Info

  • Year Assessed: 2023
  • Assessed Value: $52,696
  • County Est. Land Value: $80,360
  • Assessed Land Value: $8,036
  • County Est. Structure Value: $446,604
  • Market Estimate: -


Sale history

DateSale Price% FinancedBuyer
10/20/21$517,00095%Kelsey Moore, Sharon Schwertfeger
08/03/16$305,00098%Amy M Gracey, Christopher A Gracey
07/10/15$00%Daniel Moan, Amanda Moan
07/31/13$239,00098%Daniel Moan

Ownership

  • Name: Kelsey Moore
  • Owner Occupied: No
  • Owner Mailing Address: 2021 N 29th St, Phoenix, AZ 85008
  • Years Owned: 36
  • Home Equity: $67,850
  • Mortgage Balance Remaining: $491,150
  • Financed amount: 98%
  • Owner Type: Investor
  • Lien: No
  • Inherited: No
  • Foreclosure: No