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BNBCalc Short Term Rental Investment Analysis 16615 Morgan Hill Trail, Austin, TX, 78717

5 bed • 4 bath • 5 guests • $7,950,000

BNB

Calc

Annual Revenue

$71,296

Profit (Cash Flow)

-$487,935

Cap Rate

0.6%

Annual Revenue

$71,296

AirDNA projects $440/night at 61% occupancy ($98,031). Airbtics projects $305/night at 64% occupancy ($71,295). Airbtics predicts this property will perform in the 46% revenue percentile

BNB Calc projects a 64% occupancy rate, $305 rate per night.

Revenue Percentile (property's earnings compare to others in the market}

Percentiles25%50%75%90%
Revenue$45,930$65,747$106,833$158,589
Occupancy56%66%75%81%
Nightly Rate$217$261$374$516

Seasonality (Profit by Month)

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Airbnb Comparables

Airbnb name
Revenue
Rate/night
Occupancy
Beds
Baths
Night
Cleaning
Pool
Tub
Pets
W/D
Reviews
Cute Comfy bungalow house in N Austin
$36,270
$128
75%
422$75❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (312)
5bd 3 ba - Pool/ Hot Tub/ Theater/ Arcade
$93,404
$340
69%
533$300✅✅✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (75)
Spacious, Updated & Clean ~15 mins Domain/Kalahari
$47,490
$238
53%
43.52$109❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (166)
4BR Oasis w/Pool in Round Rock
$55,028
$219
67%
42.51$100✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (23)
Spacious Oasis with Large Pool and Game Room
$142,832
$495
77%
545$225✅✅✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (46)
Round Rock Rendezvous
$60,488
$259
63%
433$175✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (24)
*Pool* *Big Yard* *Great Location!
$61,611
$242
66%
42.51$185✅❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (106)
Rare Creekview Cottage-Events, Hot Tub, Gameroom
$91,625
$263
92%
521$170❌✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (106)
That 70s House -Fun 6 Bedroom W/Pool & Game Room
$62,110
$260
60%
62.52$250✅❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (69)
Family getaway in an amazing location/private pool
$75,198
$286
70%
41.52$160✅❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (167)
Timeless-Texas-Inn • Heated Pool Oasis • LUX Vibe
$102,531
$329
82%
42.52$199✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (199)
Updated | Great Backyard | Open floorplan | 4 bd
$47,435
$146
81%
42.51$180✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (103)
Charming & Bright W/ Lounging Pool
$36,420
$123
68%
422$180✅❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.5 (69)
Pool, Casita, Movie Room | The Wilson - Portoro
$75,341
$259
75%
552$350❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (23)
Pool & Hot Tub Oasis | Game Room | Entire Home
$113,703
$397
77%
432$225✅✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (70)
Family & Pet Friendly Home with Grill
$52,292
$300
46%
42.52$175❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (33)
Spacious Round Rock TX, 4bd-2Ba. Sleeps 10
$70,392
$314
60%
422$180❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 4.8 (38)
Round Rock Cove - Oasis w/ Pool, BBQ, and TV
$63,294
$208
78%
432$180✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (28)
Spacious Pet-Friendly: Quiet, 2 Kitchens, 2 Living
$117,917
$524
58%
54.51$380❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (21)
Hideaway
$109,372
$516
53%
432$300✅❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (9)
(Midterm) 5bd 3ba Pool/ HotTub/ Arcade/ Theater
$113,230
$422
68%
533$500✅✅✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (3)
The Sinatra - Fun, 5BD Home! Huge Pool! Game Room!
$72,400
$264
70%
522$250✅❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (70)
The Cube | KingBed •A/C •Wi-Fi •10 min to Domain
$53,107
$216
61%
422$230❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (50)
Group Retreat w Backyard Oasis w 2025 Discount
$94,982
$622
40%
43.52$300✅❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (78)
Pool + Game Room + Putting Green *No Cleaning Fee*
$68,131
$365
51%
42.52$0✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (48)
Spacious 4BR Home Away From Home at Avery Ranch!
$52,710
$212
65%
421$210❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (24)
Great Stay at Great Oaks
$52,402
$227
58%
42.52$250❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (55)
R.Rock/ATX Oasis-4 Beds, Hot Tub, Pool, 2 Kitchens
$77,957
$441
48%
435$200✅✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (7)
Luxe Ranch Vibe Retreat_Private Airport_ Pool+Spa
$112,518
$373
81%
433$200✅✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (26)
Pool/Hot Tub/Makeup Bar/Events/Games/ 2miles DT RR
$38,245
$218
45%
432$195✅✅✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.7 (39)
Space For Everyone In Family Friendly Neighborhood
$53,272
$173
79%
43.52$180❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (118)
Spacious Family Friendly Home
$64,623
$234
74%
422$185❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (51)
House w/4 beds, Pool/Spa & Grill in Austin!
$140,548
$599
63%
43.52$200✅✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (38)
Sun Filled Home W/ Gorgeous Pool/HotTub. Gameroom!
$111,331
$379
77%
52.52$240✅✅❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (59)
4BR/3BA: Newly Renovated Modern Comfort
$45,047
$181
68%
432$0✅❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (22)
R&R Compound; hot tub, fire pit, games, pool
$161,406
$525
84%
431$0✅✅✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (65)
N. Austin/Round Rock "Hidden Gem" Great Location!
$49,099
$310
42%
422$75❌❌❌Y / Y⭐️ 5 (25)
Centrally located 4BR with patio, central AC & W/D
$35,567
$226
43%
422$0❌❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.5 (5)
Pet-Friendly Round Rock Home - 19 Mi to Austin!
$25,327
$173
40%
432$0✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 4.5 (7)
Green Preserve | Piano | EV Charger | 4Bed3Bath
$46,259
$204
61%
42.56$100✅❌✅Y / Y⭐️ 5 (16)

Return Metrics

-26.49% cash on cash return is a poor return over the next 1 year

Investment Value Over Time

Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y10Y30
Profit (Cummulative)-$487,934-$975,869-$1,463,804-$1,951,739-$2,439,673-$4,879,347-$14,638,042
Revenue Appreciation$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
Home Equity$78,101$161,020$249,053$342,515$441,742$1,037,587$6,360,000
Down Payment$1,590,000$1,590,000$1,590,000$1,590,000$1,590,000$1,590,000$1,590,000
Property Appreciation$238,500$484,155$737,179$997,795$1,266,228$2,734,135$11,346,736
Total Return$1,418,666$1,259,305$1,112,428$978,571$858,297$482,375$4,658,693

Property Appreciation:

3%

Revenue Appreciation:

0%

Cash on Cash Return

-26.49%

Cap Rate

0.6%

Return on Investment

-9.3%

property-location

16615 Morgan Hill Trail Austin, Texas, 78717

5 bed • 4 bath • 5 guests

Est. $38,131/mo

Agent

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Austin

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Zoning

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Guide


Laws


Market Data

-109

Airbnb Investor Score

-$487,934

Annual Profit

0.6%

Cap Rate

-26.5%

Cash on Cash

$71,296

Annual Revenue

BNBCalc predicts this property will get $305 per night with 64% occupancy, putting it in the top 46% revenue percentile compared to similar properties nearby.

Top 58% of comparables

Top 41% of comparables


Seasonality

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40

Airbnb Comparables

Adjust the filters to identify similar listings to yours. Then adjust your annual revenue estimate accordingly.

$74,572

Avg annual revenue

64%

Avg occupancy rate

$305

Avg nightly rate


🏊‍♂️ Pool
🛁 Hot tub
🐶 Pet friendly

Any type

House

Apartment

Any min stay

Weekly min

Monthly min

4.8+ stars

Revenue per year

$25k

$70k

$115k

$160k

Sign up to see the data on 40 all comparables

-$487,935

Profit

Revenue

$71,296

Operating Expenses

$22,948

Operating Income

$48,347

Mortgage & Taxes

$536,282

Profit (Cash Flow)

-$487,935

$1,841,500

Cash Investment

Down Payment

$1,590,000

Renos & Furnishing

$13,000

Closing Costs

$238,500

Total

$1,841,500

DSCR Ratio

Weak

0.09

Get a pre-qualification letter

Investment Value Over Time

Property Appreciation

3%

Revenue Appreciation

0%

Cash on Cash Return

-26.49%

Cap Rate

0.6%

Profit (Cummulative)

-$487,935

$78,102

$13,000

$238,500

$0

Total Gain

-$171,333

STR Tax Calculator (USA)

On purchasing a large business asset, you can subtract the depreciation value from your taxable income in order to pay less income tax. Use this calculator to find out how much you can save. Read tax guide.

Your current annual income

Your income tax rate

%

Taxes paid on $150,000

$45,000

If you buy this investment property, your est deduction will be...

Deductible mortgage interest

$377,315

Deductible property tax

$78,705

Your total deduction

$1,277,322

Your adjusted annual income

$150,000 - $1,277,322 = -$1,127,322


Taxes on -$1,127,322 (30%)

-$338,196

Your old tax bill

$45,000

Your new tax bill

-$338,196


Estimated tax savings

$383,196

Maximize the depreciation value on your tax returns. Get $50 off cost segregation reports with code BNBCALC at DIYCostSeg.com

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