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BNBCalc Short Term Rental Investment Analysis 15276 West Watson Lane, Surprise, AZ

4 bed โ€ข 2 bath โ€ข 12 guests โ€ข $425,000

BNB

Calc

Annual Revenue

$56,145

Profit (Cash Flow)

$30,959

Cap Rate

8.3%

Annual Revenue

$56,145

AirDNA projects $220/night at 70% occupancy ($56,247). Airbtics projects $252/night at 61% occupancy ($56,145). Airbtics predicts this property will perform in the 47% revenue percentile

BNB Calc projects a 61% occupancy rate, $252 rate per night.

Revenue Percentile (property's earnings compare to others in the market}

Percentiles25%50%75%90%
Revenue$40,751$55,506$77,615$96,491
Occupancy52%62%74%79%
Nightly Rate$209$238$278$321

Seasonality (Profit by Month)

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Airbnb Comparables

Airbnb name
Revenue
Rate/night
Occupancy
Beds
Baths
Night
Cleaning
Pool
Tub
Pets
W/D
Reviews
Beautiful Desert Oasis in Surprise!
$43,740
$151
76%
424$200โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (31)
Spacious Surprise Home w/ Outdoor Pool & Patio!
$65,405
$275
61%
42.52$284โœ…โœ…โŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (56)
Surprise Paradise
$59,487
$253
62%
42.52$225โœ…โŒโœ…Y / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (132)
Bright Surprise Home w/ Pool, Near Spring Training
$50,566
$237
56%
432$258โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (43)
Spacious 4BR Oasis Private Pool โ€“7 Min to Stadium!
$50,113
$240
52%
42.53$500โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (102)
Serenity! Dog Friendly, Heated Pool Home
$63,829
$209
79%
423$339โœ…โŒโœ…Y / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (26)
Nice Surprise Home, w/Pool & Spa, Sleeps 8
$88,604
$299
79%
433$195โœ…โœ…โŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (214)
Spacious home w/ private pool in heart of Surprise
$55,247
$218
65%
42.52$125โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (92)
Pool & Hot Tub: Surprise Home Near Golfing!
$51,772
$198
68%
433$310โœ…โœ…โŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (13)
Surprise Home w/ Heated Pool & Deck
$70,690
$237
80%
433$258โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (74)
Single story 4 bedroom home WITH POOL to enjoy!
$69,206
$293
61%
422$250โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (68)
Spacious, 1-story, 6-bed, home in Surprise
$65,306
$242
71%
42.52$300โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (44)
Master King Suite/Spring Training Retreat/MiniGolf
$44,643
$175
68%
424$250โŒโŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 4.5 (156)
5 Bed 2 Story with Heated Pool and Spa in Surprise
$50,377
$209
59%
433$210โœ…โœ…โŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (126)
AZ Adventure, Private Pool, BBQ Island, Sleeps 12
$56,781
$214
71%
42.54$175โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (26)
Spring Training In Surprise! แณ‚
$35,264
$235
41%
422$0โœ…โœ…โŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (16)
Great Home! Next to Tennis Complex & MLB Stadium
$53,975
$319
46%
42.52$200โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (52)
Casa Los Lagos
$45,194
$196
63%
421$0โœ…โŒโœ…Y / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (24)
Vacation Oasis-1 Acre paradise, close to events
$119,905
$455
71%
43.52$350โœ…โœ…โŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (14)
Beautiful home. Close to Stadium, Tennis, & Golf
$80,892
$396
55%
433$325โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (15)
Surprise Family Home w/ Private Pool & Yard!
$44,182
$257
44%
42.53$387โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (15)
Rimrock Casa
$58,278
$330
48%
433$250โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (49)
Gorgeous SURPRISE GEM 2 Miles to Baseball Stadium
$88,236
$256
93%
435$199โŒโŒโœ…Y / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (64)
Welcome to BlueSkySurprise Home w/ Pool
$67,288
$242
74%
42.53$199โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (57)
Desert Oasis in Surprise! Private Pool and Spa
$73,160
$228
86%
422$250โœ…โœ…โŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (185)
Comfortable home in quiet area with enclosed yard
$48,692
$236
55%
435$261โŒโŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (7)
House by Merlin
$31,033
$149
55%
427$250โŒโŒโœ…Y / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (4)
Cozy Cactus I 5 Bed Suite w/ Pool I Stadium & Golf
$52,704
$200
72%
42.51$0โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (25)
Spacious, Inviting Oasis
$62,621
$313
52%
432$250โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (10)
Spacious 4 Bedroom Home with Pool / Game room
$40,476
$321
34%
42.54$300โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (24)
Retreat In Surprise-PVT Pool & Lush Green Backyard
$51,238
$247
56%
421$409โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (7)
Surprise Oasis: Heated Pool+Bonfire+Long-Term Stay
$67,681
$268
69%
4330$0โœ…โŒโœ…Y / Yโญ๏ธ 4.8 (17)
Space sweet Home
$78,274
$271
78%
432$299โŒโŒโœ…Y / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (10)
FUN! Games and location. Beds: K, Q & 4 XL twins
$80,461
$229
96%
423$0โŒโŒโœ…Y / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (11)
Surprise!
$53,225
$415
33%
433$200โœ…โœ…โœ…Y / Yโญ๏ธ 0 (2)
Private Escape in Surprise AZ
$49,410
$180
75%
42.52$0โœ…โŒโœ…Y / Yโญ๏ธ 4.5 (21)
3-Bedroom Home near Surprise Stadium
$52,430
$191
75%
42.52$0โœ…โŒโŒY / Yโญ๏ธ 5 (23)

Return Metrics

16.02% cash on cash return is a great return over the next 1 year

Investment Value Over Time

Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y10Y30
Profit (Cummulative)$30,958$61,917$92,876$123,835$154,794$309,589$928,767
Revenue Appreciation$0$0$0$0$0$0$0
Home Equity$254,999$254,999$254,999$254,999$254,999$254,999$254,999
Down Payment$170,000$170,000$170,000$170,000$170,000$170,000$170,000
Property Appreciation$12,750$25,882$39,408$53,341$67,691$146,164$606,586
Total Return$468,708$512,800$557,285$602,176$647,486$880,753$1,960,354

Property Appreciation:

3%

Revenue Appreciation:

0%

Cash on Cash Return

16.02%

Cap Rate

8.27%

Return on Investment

23.82%

property-location

15276 W Watson Ln Surprise, Arizona, 85379

4 bed โ€ข 2 bath โ€ข 12 guests

Est. $2,038/mo

Agent

Inquire about this property

Contact Agent

$441,600

Zestimate

Surprise

Zoning


Laws

77

Airbnb Investor Score

$8,337

Annual Profit

8.3%

Cap Rate

16.0%

Cash on Cash

$56,145

Annual Revenue

This property is projected to be in the top 47% revenue percentile compared to similar properties nearby.
Projected nightly rate is $220/night at 70% occupancy.Projected nightly rate is $252/night at 61% occupancy.

Top 56% of comparables

Top 38% of comparables


Seasonality

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40

Airbnb Comparables

Adjust the filters to identify similar listings to yours. Then adjust your annual revenue estimate accordingly.

$57,209

Avg annual revenue

61%

Avg occupancy rate

$252

Avg nightly rate


๐ŸŠโ€โ™‚๏ธ Pool
๐Ÿ› Hot tub
๐Ÿถ Pet friendly

Any type

House

Apartment

Any min stay

Weekly min

Monthly min

4.8+ stars

Revenue per year

$20k

$50k

$85k

$120k

Sign up to see the data on 40 all comparables

$30,959

Profit

Revenue

$56,145

Operating Expenses

$20,979

Operating Income

$35,166

Mortgage & Taxes

$4,208

Profit (Cash Flow)

$30,959

$180,500

Cash Investment

Down Payment

$170,000

Renos & Furnishing

$10,500

Total

$180,500

Investment Value Over Time

Property Appreciation

3%

Revenue Appreciation

0%

Cash on Cash Return

16.02%

Cap Rate

8.27%

Profit (Cummulative)

$30,959

$255,000

$10,500

$12,750

$0

Total Gain

$46,040

STR Tax Calculator (USA)

On purchasing a large business asset, you can subtract the depreciation value from your taxable income in order to pay less income tax. Use this calculator to find out how much you can save. Read tax guide.

Your current annual income

Your income tax rate

%

Taxes paid on $150,000

$45,000

If you buy this investment property, your est deduction will be...

Deductible mortgage interest

$20,204

Deductible property tax

$4,208

Your total deduction

$37,089

Your adjusted annual income

$150,000 - $37,089 = $112,911


Taxes on $112,911 (30%)

$33,873

Your old tax bill

$45,000

Your new tax bill

$33,873


Estimated tax savings

$11,127

Maximize the depreciation value on your tax returns. Get $50 off cost segregation reports with code BNBCALC at DIYCostSeg.com

Property Overview

View property info, current ownership, recently sold comps, school zone ratings, area rents, and more.

Lot size:

6,930 sqft

Year built:

2002

Size:

2,065 sqft

Type:

SINGLE_FAMILY

Parking:

2

Heating:

Electric

Sold Comparables


Property Details

  • MLS Status: N/A
  • Property Use: SINGLE_FAMILY
  • Stories: 1
  • Lot size: 6,930 sqft
  • Building area: 2,065 sqft
  • Garage: Yes
  • Heating: Electric
  • Pool: Yes
  • Fireplaces: -
  • Basement: No
  • Cooling: Refrigeration, Ceiling Fan(s)
  • View: -
  • Parking: Inside Entrance, Electric Door Opener
  • Amenities: -
  • Price per square foot: $216

Lot Info

  • Zoning: -
  • Land Use: -
  • Parcel Number: 50195670
  • Flood Zone: Yes, Zone Moderate risk: Areas of 0.2% annual chance flood (500-year flood)

Tax Info

  • Year Assessed: 2024
  • Assessed Value: $411,700
  • County Est. Land Value: -
  • Assessed Land Value: -
  • County Est. Structure Value: -
  • Market Estimate: $446,900


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